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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2021-12-20T12:36:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2021-12-20T12:36Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/18587/-1
CME Note: This CME is associated with an M1.8 from AR12908 (S20W00). It is visible in the south of SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and in the west of STEROE A COR. This CME has a dimpled front. The eruption is characterized by an EUV wave, dimming, and post eruption arcades. | Update: "There is no clear CME signature on Dec 24-25. During the short-duration mag field rotations, the field is not much increased or quiet." - Lan Jian
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-12-23T18:42Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 76.8%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.125 - 4.375
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: -26666.23 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z

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